AVIATOR 97.00%STAKE CRASH 99.00%JETX 96.2 to 98.9%SPACEMAN 95.00%PLINKO OUTER BIN 1 in 65,536MINES FULL CLEAR 1 in 2,300DICE / LIMBO 99.00%BOOK OF DEAD 96.21 to 84.18%PAGES 95STUDIO SOURCES 41CORRECTIONS LOGGED 5AVIATOR 97.00%STAKE CRASH 99.00%JETX 96.2 to 98.9%SPACEMAN 95.00%PLINKO OUTER BIN 1 in 65,536MINES FULL CLEAR 1 in 2,300DICE / LIMBO 99.00%BOOK OF DEAD 96.21 to 84.18%PAGES 95STUDIO SOURCES 41CORRECTIONS LOGGED 5
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Crash Cash-Out Calculator: Your Target’s Real Odds

The probability that a crash game reaches your cash-out target m is RTP / m. In Aviator (97% RTP), a 2x target wins about 48.5% of rounds; in a 99% game like Stake Crash it wins 49.5%. Expected loss never changes with your target: it is always 100 minus the RTP, per 100 wagered. Use the calculator, then check the table the math comes from.

Crash cash-out calculator

Every target, one picture

Longer bar = wins more often, but pays less. Every target has the same expected loss; only the ride changes.

The reference table (Aviator, 97% RTP)

TargetWin chanceOdds
1.5x64.67%1 in 1.55
2x48.50%1 in 2.06
3x32.33%1 in 3.09
5x19.40%1 in 5.15
10x9.70%1 in 10.31
20x4.85%1 in 20.62
50x1.94%1 in 51.55
100x0.97%1 in 103.09
P(reach m) = 0.97 / m. For a 99% game, replace 0.97 with 0.99. Full multi-game table in the crash game odds table.
STAKEThe build behind these numbers
Code PLAYSTORIES: rakeback on every wager, win or lose
Play Crash at 99% →
Disclosure: this is an affiliate link, so we may earn a commission if you sign up. It never changes a number on this page. 18+. Play responsibly.

Quick answers

What are the odds my crash target hits? RTP divided by the target: in Aviator (97%), 2x wins 48.5% of rounds, 10x wins 9.7%.

Which cash-out target is best? None: every target has the same expected loss (100 minus RTP per 100 wagered). Targets only change variance.

How likely is a 5-loss streak at 2x? About 3.6% in Aviator, roughly once per 28 five-round sequences. Streaks are normal, not rigging.

Get alerts when these odds change

Game versions change (JetX runs from 96.2% to 98.9% by operator). One short email when a popular game's math moves. No tips, no signals, no spam.

Built and reviewed by the PlayStories editorial team. Last updated July 26, 2026. Formulas verified per our methodology. Informational only, not betting advice. 18+. Play responsibly.

Related

STAKEThe build behind these numbers
Code PLAYSTORIES: rakeback on every wager, win or lose
The 99% column in this calculator is the Stake-style crash build.
Play Crash at 99% →
Disclosure: this is an affiliate link, so we may earn a commission if you sign up. It never changes a number on this page. 18+. Play responsibly.

Get the odds before everyone else

One short email when a game's RTP changes, a new build ships, or a "predictor" scam needs debunking. Real math only. No tips, no signals, no spam.

We publish corrections in public. If a number here is wrong, tell us and it changes the same day.